57% of London's clubs and pubs will close by 2030, new research suggests

57% of London's pubs and clubs will shut down by 2030, a new forecast from Capital on Tap suggests.

The report, entitled The UK's Nightlife Report, analysed cities across the UK to examine at the current demand for nightlife spaces and predict the state of the industry in five years time.

The data ‚— which comes from measuring the rate of closures seen between 2022 and 2025 in each city against national trend forecasts, localised searches for nightlife venues, and the number of existing venues in relation to population — suggests that London will lose over half of its pubs and clubs by 2030.

Read this next: Sadiq Khan launches London's first-ever "Nightlife Taskforce"

Capital on Tap counted 8,457 pubs and clubs in London currently, predicting that the figure would sink to 3,617 in five years; despite London having a slower rate of decline since 2022, at just 17.79%, the number of pubs and clubs by population was one of the lowest — with just 1.5 nightclubs and 9.7 pubs per 10,000 people.

While figures in the capital look bleak, other cities have much more alarming scores — with Bristol predicted to lose 61.33% of its pubs and clubs, Brighton 64.06% and Leeds 65.14%.

Leicester is the hardest hit by Capital on Tap's metrics, with the data suggesting that it will lose 65.85% of its pubs and clubs by 2030.

Read this next: New event space set to open within disused warehouse in East London this weekend

Manchester fares much better in the report's predictions, with Capital On Tap claiming it has the highest demand for nightlife out of all the UK cities surveyed.

Despite the rate of closure being 13.03% since 2022, the monthly search volume for pubs and clubs was 63,810 — or 1,613 per 10,000 people.

You can read Capital Tap's full report on UK nightlife here.

Megan Townsend is Mixmag's Deputy Editor, follow her on Twitter